The Value of Children and Immigrants in a Pay-as-You-Go Pension System: A Proposal for a Partial Transition to a Funded System

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP1734

Authors: Hanswerner Sinn

Abstract: It is shown that the net fiscal externality created by an additional member of a pay-as-you-go-pension system that is endowed with individual accounts equals the gross contributions of this member. In Germany, this equals about 175,000 Deutsche marks. The paper uses this information to design a hybrid funded system that avoids this externality and improves the public pension system under equity and efficiency considerations.

Keywords: pay-as-you-go pension systems; immigration; children

JEL Codes: H55; J6


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Birth of a child (J13)Financial sustainability of the pension system (H55)
Immigrant contribution (J61)Financial sustainability of the pension system (H55)
Family investment in children (D14)Financial health of the pension system (G23)
Structure of the pension system (H55)Fertility decisions (J13)
Fertility decisions (J13)Pension crisis (H55)

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