Measuring Upward Mobility

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP17051

Authors: Garance Genicot; Debraj Ray

Abstract: We develop a measure of upward mobility that distills central features of the relative and absolute approaches to measuring mobility. The former is embodied in the Growth Progressivity axiom: transfers of instantaneous growth rates from relatively rich to poor individuals increases upward mobility. The latter is embodied in the Growth Alignment axiom: mobility increases with higher growth for all individuals. These axioms, along with standard auxiliary restrictions, identify a simple one-parameter family of upward mobility measures, linear in individual growth rates and exhibiting geometrically declining weights on baseline incomes. A serendipitous implication of our measure is that it does not rely on panel data, which greatly expands our analytical scope to data-poor settings.

Keywords: income mobility; upward mobility; pro-poor growth

JEL Codes: I32; D63; O15


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Rich Growth Rate (O40)Upward Mobility (J62)
Higher Growth for All (O49)Increased Upward Mobility (J62)

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