A Pay Change and Its Longterm Consequences

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP17010

Authors: Guido Friebel; Miriam Krueger

Abstract: In a professional services firm, top management unexpectedly adjusted the pay of consultants in somedivisions to the pay in other divisions. In this quasi-experiment, fixed wages increased and bonusesdecreased, reducing pay for the high and increasing it for the low performers. Individual outputs andefforts decreased by 30%, and attrition and absenteeism increased. The effects are driven by those whowere rationally expecting to lose from the pay change. Observing a period of more than three years, weshow long-term negative reciprocity of those affected, but no negative selection effects of new hires.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: No JEL codes provided


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
pay change (J33)decrease in individual outputs and efforts (D29)
pay change (J33)increased attrition (D29)
pay change (J33)increased absenteeism (J22)
decrease in individual outputs and efforts (D29)negative reciprocity (Z13)
pay change (J33)long-term reductions in performance (D29)
new hires (M51)productivity compared to those replaced (O49)

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