Price Pressure Indices, Innovation and Mergers between Commonly Owned Firms

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP16905

Authors: Roman Inderst; Stefan Thomas

Abstract: The potentially anticompetitive effects of common ownership are being discussed controversially. While the US agencies still display reluctance, the Commission has already invoked common ownership has part of a theory of harm in Dow/DuPont and Bayer/Monsanto. In our paper we focus on how common ownership can bear on the application of price pressure indices in unilateral effects analysis of horizontal mergers between portfolio companies. We do not assess whether the underlying premise of common ownership to lead to an internalization of shareholders’ expectations of high overall market returns is convincing. Rather, we hypothesize such common shareholder influence. Our main conclusion is that common ownership should still not be considered a general circumstantial factor indicating competitive harm with respect to post-merger price increases or effects on innovation competition. Rather, it calls for case-by-case analysis.

Keywords: common ownership; Herfindahl-Hirschman index; horizontal effects; innovation competition; merger control; unilateral effects; upward pricing pressure

JEL Codes: L21; L22; L41


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
common ownership (G32)upward pricing pressure (L11)
merger maintains unchanged ownership (G34)mitigates upward pricing pressure (D49)
merger extends common ownership (G34)increases upward pricing pressure (L11)
common ownership (G32)negative effects on innovation (O36)
common ownership (G32)enhances efficiencies from positive externalities of innovations (O36)

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