Does Going Cashless Make You Tax-Rich? Evidence from India’s Demonetization Experiment

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP16891

Authors: Lucie Gadenne; Tushar Nandi; Satadru Das; Ross Warwick

Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of electronic payments technology on firms' tax compliance in a large developing economy. We consider India's demonetization policy which, by limiting the availability of cash, led to a large increase in the use of electronic forms of payments. Using administrative data on firms' tax returns and variation in the strength of the demonetization shock across local areas, we find that greater use of electronic payments leads to firms reporting more sales to the tax authorities. This effect is strong enough to explain roughly half of the large (11 %) increase in reported sales observed during demonetization.

Keywords: tax compliance; electronic payments; demonetization

JEL Codes: H26; O23; H25


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
demonetization shock (E39)electronic payments (E42)
electronic payments (E42)reported sales (Y10)
demonetization shock (E39)reported sales (Y10)
electronic payments (E42)tax compliance (H26)

Back to index