Who Saves More: The Naive or the Sophisticated Agent

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP16412

Authors: Max Groneck; Alexander Ludwig; Alexander Zimper

Abstract: We consider an additively time-separable life-cycle model for the family of powerperiod utility functions u such that u'(c) = c^(-theta) for resistance to inter-temporalsubstitution of theta > 0. The utility maximization problem over life-time consumptionis dynamically inconsistent for almost all specifications of effective discount factors.Pollak (1968) shows that the savings behavior of a sophisticated agent and her naivecounterpart is always identical for a logarithmic utility function (i.e., for theta = 1). Asan extension of Pollak's result we show that the sophisticated agent saves a greater(smaller) fraction of her wealth in every period than her naive counterpart whenevertheta > 1 (theta < 1) irrespective of the specification of discount factors. We further showthat this finding extends to an environment with risky returns and dynamicallyinconsistent Epstein-Zin-Weil preferences.

Keywords: lifecycle model; discount functions; dynamic inconsistency; savings behavior; naive agent; sophisticated agent; Choquet expected utility preferences; Epstein-Zin preferences

JEL Codes: D15; D91; E21


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
sophisticated agent (L85)savings behavior (D14)
theta < 1 (C29)savings behavior of sophisticated agent (D14)
theta > 1 (C29)savings behavior of sophisticated agent (D14)
logarithmic utility function (theta = 1) (D11)savings behavior of naive and sophisticated agents (E21)
concavity parameter (theta) (C61)savings behavior (D14)

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