Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP16397
Authors: Gabriella Conti; Elena Pizzo; Steve Morris; Mariya Melnychuk
Abstract: Child maltreatment is a major public health problem with significant consequences for individual victims and for society. In this paper we quantify for the first time the economic costs of fatal and non-fatal child maltreatment in the UK in relation to several short-, medium-, andlong-term outcomes ranging from physical and mental health problems, to labour market outcomes and welfare use. We combine novel regression analysis of rich data from the National Child Development Study and the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing with secondary evidence to produce an incidence-based estimate of the lifetime costs of child maltreatment from a societal perspective. The discounted average lifetime incidence cost of non-fatal child maltreatment by a primary caregiver is estimated at £89,390 (95% uncertainty interval £44,896 to £145,508); the largest contributors to this are costs from social care, short-term health and long-term labour market outcomes. The discounted lifetime cost per death from child maltreatment is estimated at £940,758, comprising health care and lost productivity costs. Our estimates provide the first comprehensive benchmark to quantify the costs of child maltreatment in the UK and the benefits of interventions aimed at reducing or preventing it.
Keywords: Child Maltreatment; Incidence-Based Approach; Lifetime Costs; Health Care Costs; Productivity Losses; Sensitivity Analysis
JEL Codes: I18; J17; D61
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
Cause | Effect |
---|---|
Child maltreatment (J12) | Mental health issues (I12) |
Child maltreatment (J12) | Current smoking (I12) |
Child maltreatment (J12) | Heavy drinking (L66) |
Child maltreatment (J12) | Labor market outcomes (J48) |
Child maltreatment (J12) | Lifetime costs of nonfatal child maltreatment (J17) |
Child maltreatment (J12) | Lifetime cost per death from child maltreatment (J17) |