Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP16202
Authors: Maarten Dossche; Andrea Giovanni Gazzani; Vivien Lewis
Abstract: Labor productivity is more procyclical in OECD countries with lower employment volatility. To capture this new stylized fact, we propose a business cycle model with employment adjustment costs, variable hours and labor effort. We show that, in our model with variable effort, greater labor market frictions are associated with procyclical labor productivity as well as stable employment. In contrast, the constant-effort model fails to replicate the observed cross-country pattern in the data. By implication, labor market deregulation has a greater effect on the cyclicality of labor productivity and on the relative volatility of employment when effort can vary.
Keywords: effort; hours; labor adjustment; labor market deregulation; labor productivity
JEL Codes: E30; E50; E60
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| labor market frictions (J29) | procyclical labor productivity (O49) |
| employment adjustment costs (J65) | cyclicality of labor productivity (O49) |
| labor market deregulation (J48) | cyclicality of labor productivity (O49) |
| reductions in employment adjustment costs (J65) | cyclicality of labor productivity (O49) |
| lower employment volatility (J69) | more procyclical labor productivity (O49) |