Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP16146
Authors: Yuk Ying Chang; Sudipto Dasgupta
Abstract: China has experienced significant capital flight over the last two decades. Despite anecdotal evidence that some of this capital has been invested in foreign residential markets, not much is known from academic research about its destination and impact. We examine the effects of capital inflows from China on residential property prices and the real economy in the U.S. and global metropolitan areas. We show that inflows had significant effects on residential property markets and employment in regions that (a) have strong ethnic ties to China and (b) are destinations of Chinese students. We document spillover effects to other regions.
Keywords: capital flight; housing prices; employment; deposits; ethnic ties; educational links; spillovers
JEL Codes: F20; F21; G12; G15; R00
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| residential property prices (R31) | employment (J68) |
| capital inflows from China (F21) | residential property prices (R31) |
| capital inflows from China (F21) | employment (J68) |
| capital inflows from China (F21) | residential property prices in adjacent counties (R31) |