A Commitment Theory of Populism

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP16051

Authors: Massimo Morelli; Antonio Nicol; Paolo Roberti

Abstract: When voters' trust in politicians collapses, they demand simple policies that they can easily monitor. Disenchanted citizens therefore prefer committed delegates to politicians who propose themselves as competent policy makers but without a specific policy commitment (trustees). In a two-party competition, the unique asymmetric equilibrium is such that voters with lower interest for the common good select a committed delegate, while those with higher interest for the common good appoint a trustee. In this equilibrium, we show that the committed delegate also chooses all the strategies typically associated with populism in the literature. Hence, this paper puts forward a commitment theory of populism.

Keywords: populism; competence; commitment; information acquisition; interest groups; morality

JEL Codes: D72; D78


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Reduced trust in politicians (D72)Voters prefer committed delegates (D72)
Committed delegates (D79)Populist strategies (D72)
Lower morality (A13)Prefer committed delegate (populist) (D72)
Higher morality (A13)Opt for trustee (non-populist) (D72)
Moral polarization (A13)Populist behavior (D72)

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