The Welfare Effect of a Consumer Subsidy with Price Ceilings: The Case of Chinese Cell Phones

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP16033

Authors: Ying Fan; Ge Zhang

Abstract: Subsidies to consumers may cause firms to charge higher prices, which offsets consumer benefits from subsidies. We study a subsidy program design that mitigates such price increases by making products' eligibility for a subsidy dependent on firms' commitment to price ceilings. To quantify the importance of such competition for eligibility, we develop a structural model and an estimation procedure that accommodate binding pricing constraints. We find that competition for eligibility mitigates the price increases arising from the subsidy and even leads to a reduction in prices for some products. It improves consumer and total surpluses while limiting government subsidy payments.

Keywords: subsidy; price ceiling; competition for eligibility; cell phone

JEL Codes: L1; D4; H2


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Competition for eligibility (Z28)Mitigates price increases due to the subsidy program (H23)
Competition for eligibility (Z28)Reduction in prices for some products (P22)
Price ceilings (D41)Improves consumer surplus (D11)
Price ceilings (D41)Improves producer surplus (D41)
Competition for eligibility (Z28)Downward pressure on prices of non-eligible products (L11)

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