Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP1553
Authors: Jennifer Hunt
Abstract: Starting in 1985, (West) German unions began to reduce standard hours on an industry-by-industry basis in an attempt to lower unemployment. Whether ?work-sharing? works ? whether employment rises when hours per worker are reduced ? is theoretically ambiguous. I test this using both individual data from the German Socio-Economic Panel and industry data to exploit the cross-section and time-series hours variation. For the 1984?9 period, I find that, in response to a one-hour fall in standard hours, employment rose by 0.3?0.7%, but that total hours worked fell by 2?3%, implying possible output losses. As a group, however, workers were better off as the wage bill rose. The employment growth implied by the mean standard hours decline, at most 1.1%, was not enough to bring German employment growth close to the US rate. Results for the 1990?94 period were more pessimistic.
Keywords: employment; hours; unions; worksharing; germany
JEL Codes: J23; J51
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
Cause | Effect |
---|---|
Reduction in standard hours (J22) | Increase in employment (hourly workers) (J23) |
Reduction in standard hours (J22) | Increase in employment (salaried workers) (J39) |
Reduction in standard hours (J22) | Decrease in total hours worked (hourly workers) (J22) |
Increase in employment (hourly workers) (J23) | Decrease in total hours worked (hourly workers) (J22) |
Reduction in standard hours (J22) | Employment growth insufficient to match US rates (F66) |