Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP15226
Authors: Patrick Francois; Francesco Trebbi; Kairong Xiao
Abstract: This paper investigates, theoretically and empirically, factional arrangements within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), the governing political party of the People's Republic of China. Using detailed biographical information of political elites in the Central Committee and provincial governments, we present a set of new empirical regularities within the CCP, including systematic patterns of cross-factional balancing at different levels of the political hierarchy and substantial faction premia in promotions. We propose and estimate an organizational economic model to characterize factional politics within single-party nondemocratic regimes.
Keywords: China; Political Economy; Factions; Chinese Communist Party; Single Party Regime
JEL Codes: P3; P48
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Factional balancing (D72) | Competition among factions (D74) |
| Factional politics (D72) | Economic performance (P17) |
| Factional affiliation (D71) | Likelihood of promotion (J62) |
| CYLC membership (Y91) | Likelihood of promotion (J62) |
| Shanghai Gang membership (K42) | Likelihood of promotion (J62) |
| Co-factional leader presence (D70) | Promotion rates (J62) |