Dynamics of Markups, Concentration, and Product Span

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP14881

Authors: Elhanan Helpman; Benjamin Niswonger

Abstract: We develop a model with a finite number of multi-product firms that populate an industrytogether with a continuum of single-product firms, and study the dynamics of this industrythat arises from investments in the invention of new products. Consistent with the availableevidence, the model predicts rising markups and concentration and a declining labor share. Wethen examine the dynamics of market shares and product spans in response to improvements inthe technologies of the multi-product and single-product firms, and the impact of these changeson the steady state distribution of market shares and product spans. Our model predicts thepossibility of an inverted-U relationship between labor productivity and product span in thecross-section of firms, for which we provide suggestive evidence. It also predicts that risingentry costs of single-product firms may flatten the relationship between labor productivity andmarket shares of the large multi-product firms.

Keywords: single and multiproduct firms; firm dynamics; industry dynamics; markup; market share; product span

JEL Codes: L11; L13; L25; D43


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Investment in innovation (O35)Rising markups and concentration (D43)
Technological improvements (O33)Changes in market shares and product spans (L17)
Labor productivity (O49)Product span (L68)
Labor productivity (O49)Decrease in product span (D24)
Entry costs (L11)Reduced competition (L49)
Reduced competition (L49)Affect on productivity and market shares (F61)

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