The Insights and Illusions of Consumption Measurements

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP14730

Authors: Erich Battistin; Michele De Nadai; Nandini Krishnan

Abstract: While household well-being derives from long-term average rates of consumption, welfare comparisons typically rely on shorter-duration survey measurements. We develop a new strategy to identify the distribution of these long-term rates by leveraging a large-scale randomization that elicited repeated short-duration measurements from diaries and recall questions. Identification stems from diary-recall differences in reports from the same household, does not require reports to be error-free, and hinges on a research design with broad replicability. Our strategy delivers cost-effective suggestions for designing survey modules that yield the closest measurements of consumption well-being, and offers new insights to interpret and reconcile diary-recall differences in household surveys.

Keywords: household surveys; measurement of inequality and poverty; modes of data collection

JEL Codes: C81; D31; D63; E21; I32


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
diary errors (Y60)misleading conclusions about household welfare (D10)
recall data (Y10)more reliable figures for aggregate statistics (C80)
overreporting in recall data (C83)systematic bias in consumption recall (D12)
variability in survey measurements (C83)changes in usual consumption (D12)
average acquisition of same-income households (D19)variability in survey measurements (C83)
continuous variable affecting survey measurements (C83)nonparametric identification of usual consumption distributions (D12)
conditional independence of survey measurements (C83)nonparametric identification of usual consumption distributions (D12)

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