Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP14467
Authors: Gara Afonso; Marco Cipriani; Adam Copeland; Anna Kovner; Gabriele La Spada; Antoine Martin
Abstract: This paper studies the mid-September 2019 stress in US money markets: on September 16 and-17, unsecured and secured funding rates spiked up and, on the 17, the effective federal funds rate broke the ceiling of the FOMC target range. We highlight two factors that may have contributed to these events. First, reserves may have become scarce for at least some depository institutions, in the sense that these institutions’ reserve holdings may have been close to, or lower than, their desired level. Moreover frictions in the interbank market may have prevented the efficient allocation of reserves across institutions, so that although aggregate reserves may have been higher than the sum of reserves demanded by each institution, they were still scarce given the market’s inability to allocate reserves efficiently. Second, we provide evidence that some large domestic dealers likely experienced an increase in intermediation costs, which lead them to charge higher spreads to ultimate cash borrowers. This increase was due to a temporary reduction in lending from money market mutual funds, including through the Fixed Income Clearing Corporation’s (FICC’s) sponsored repo program.
Keywords: Federal funds market; Repo market; Central bank reserves; Regulation; Monetary policy implementation
JEL Codes: E42; E58; G14
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| reserve scarcity (E51) | increase in the effective federal funds rate (EFFR) (E52) |
| reserve scarcity (E51) | spike in the secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) (E43) |
| increased intermediation costs (F65) | higher spreads charged to cash borrowers (G21) |
| reserve scarcity (E51) | frictions in the interbank market (E44) |
| frictions in the interbank market (E44) | inefficient reserve allocation (D61) |
| increased intermediation costs (F65) | temporary reduction in lending from money market mutual funds (MMFs) (E51) |
| temporary reduction in lending from money market mutual funds (MMFs) (E51) | withdrawal from the Fixed Income Clearing Corporation's (FICC) sponsored repo program (G29) |
| reserve scarcity (E51) | banks stepping into the repo market (G21) |