Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP14295
Authors: Mauro Rota; Jacob Weisdorf
Abstract: We present new and improved long-run wage indices for skilled and unskilled construction workers in Italy. Our data avoid multiple issues pestering earlier wage indices, including regional shifts and sub-contractor mark-ups, making our new indices the first consistent day-wage sequences for early-modern Italy. Our improved wages, obtained from the construction of the St Peter’s Church in Rome, consolidate the traditional view that urban Italy began a prolonged economic downturn during the mid-17th century. The wages also offer sustenance to the idea that epidemics instigated the country’s long decline. Comparison with newly downscaled construction wages for London show that Roman workers, despite Italy’s downturn, out-earned their early-modern English counterparts. This suggests that high wages alone were not enough to trigger industrialisation.
Keywords: construction; divergence; industrial revolution; living standards; prices; wages
JEL Codes: J3; J4; J8; I3; N33
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| epidemics (I12) | decline in real earnings (J31) |
| decline in real earnings (J31) | prolonged economic downturn (E32) |
| epidemics (I12) | prolonged economic downturn (E32) |
| high wages (J31) | industrialization (O14) |