Insolvency, Illiquidity, Macro Externalities and Regulation

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP14055

Authors: Ester Faia

Abstract: This paper studies the optimal design of equity and liquidity regulations in a dynamic macro model with information-based bank runs. Although the latter are privately efficient, since they discipline bank managers efforts into the projects' re-deploying activity, they induce aggregate externalities. Technological inefficiencies arise if bank managers extract rents which are higher than the technological costs of re-deploying projects. Pecuniary externalities arise since, when choosing leverage, bank managers do not internalize the fall in asset price ensuing from the aggregate costs of projects' liquidation in a run event. This creates scope for regulation. Equity and liquidity requirements are complementary, as the first tackles the solvency region, while the second the illiquid-solvent one. Finally, in presence of anticipatory effects prudential policies may have unintended consequences as banks adjust their behaviour when a shift in prudential regime is announced. The more so the higher the credibility of the announcement.

Keywords: information-based bank runs; pecuniary externalities; Ramsey plan; Basel regimes; equity requirements; liquidity requirements

JEL Codes: E0; E5; G01


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Bank runs (E44)technological inefficiencies (O33)
Leverage choices by bank managers (G21)fall in asset prices (G19)
Equity requirements (G12)Liquidity requirements (G28)
Regulatory announcements (G38)bank behavior (G21)
bank behavior (G21)effectiveness of regulations (L51)

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