Microresponses to Shocks: Pricing, Promotion, and Entry

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP13281

Authors: Alexis Antoniades; Sofronis Clerides; Mingzhi Xu

Abstract: We study the market response to firm-specific demand shocks in a natural experiment setting. In 2006, a boycott of Danish products in several Arab countries was devastating for Danish cheese products firms. In Saudi Arabia their market share collapsed from 16.5% in January to below 1% in March and never fully recovered: by 2009 it was 6.3%. By analyzing micro-level (scanner) price and sales data, we find that: (i)Danish firms lowered prices but kept the product mix the same; (ii) non-Danish firms kept prices constant but changed their product mix by introducing new products and new product bundles; and (iii) non-Danish firms chose to introduce products that were similar to the Danish in characteristic space in order to compete head-to-head. We complement the analysis with a theoretical framework that helps to account for our main findings.

Keywords: boycotts; multiproduct firms; demand shock; Saudi Arabia

JEL Codes: E30; L10; L11


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Danish firms lowered their prices in response to the boycott (L11)price adjustments by Danish firms (L11)
non-Danish firms maintained stable prices but altered their product mix (L11)product mix changes by non-Danish firms (F29)
boycott (D74)market dynamics (D49)
price adjustments by Danish firms (L11)market dynamics (D49)
product mix changes by non-Danish firms (F29)market dynamics (D49)

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