The Return on Information Technology: Who Benefits Most?

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP13246

Authors: Emmanuel Dhyne; Jozef Konings; Jeroen van den Bosch; Stijn Vanormelingen

Abstract: Using a novel comprehensive data set of IT investment at the firm level, we find that a firm investing an additional euro in IT increases value added by 1 euro and 38 cents on average. This marginal product of IT investment increases with firm size and varies across sectors. IT explains about 10% of productivity dispersion across firms. While we find substantial returns of IT at the firm level, such returns are much lower at the aggregate level. This is due to underinvestment in IT (IT capital deepening is low) and misallocation of IT investments.

Keywords: IT; Productivity; Growth

JEL Codes: D24; L10; O14; O49


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
IT investments (G31)productivity (O49)
firm size * IT investments (G31)productivity (O49)
IT investments (G31)productivity dispersion (O49)
underinvestment and misallocation of IT resources (G31)overall returns on IT (I26)
overall returns on IT (I26)Solow Paradox (O49)

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