The Regional Effects of Germany's National Minimum Wage

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP13005

Authors: Gabriel Ahlfeldt; Duncan Roth; Tobias Seidel

Abstract: We estimate the spatially differential effects of a nationally uniform minimum wage that was introduced in Germany in 2015. To this end, we use a micro data set covering the universe of employed and unemployed individ-uals in Germany from 2011 to 2016 and a difference-in-differences based identification strategy that controls for heterogeneity in pre-treatment outcome trends. We find that the policy led to spatial wage convergence, in par-ticular in the left tail of the distribution, without reducing relative employment in low-wage regions within the first two years.

Keywords: difference-in-differences; employment; germany; minimum wage; wage inequality

JEL Codes: J31; J58; R12


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Minimum wage introduction (J38)spatial wage convergence (R12)
Minimum wage bite (J38)increase in wages at the 10th percentile (J31)
Minimum wage bite (J38)lower unemployment rates in low-wage regions (F66)

Back to index