The Rise of Shadow Banking: Evidence from Capital Regulation

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP12913

Authors: Rustom M. Irani; Rajkamal Iyer; Ralf Meisenzahl; Jos Luis Peydr

Abstract: We investigate the connections between bank capital regulation and the prevalence of lightly regulated nonbanks (shadow banks) in the U.S. corporate loan market. For identi cation, we exploit a supervisory credit register of syndicated loans, loan-time fixed-effects, and shocks to capital requirements arising from surprise features of the U.S. implementation of Basel III. We nd that less-capitalized banks reduce loan retention, particularly among loans with higher capital requirements and at times when capital is scarce, and nonbanks step in. This reallocation has important spillovers: during the 2008 crisis, loans funded by nonbanks with fragile liabilities are less likely to be rolled over and experience greater price volatility.

Keywords: shadow banks; risk-based capital regulation; Basel III; interactions between banks and nonbanks; trading by banks; distressed debt

JEL Codes: G01; G21; G23; G28


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
less-capitalized banks (G21)reduce loan retention (G51)
reduce loan retention (G51)increased entry of nonbanks (G21)
a one-standard-deviation decrease in bank capital (F65)increase in nonbank share of loan funding (G21)
bank capital constraints (G28)loan sales (G51)
bank capital constraints (G28)nonbank entry (G21)
loans funded by nonbanks (G21)greater price volatility (G13)
loans funded by nonbanks (G21)reduced availability during financial crises (E44)
lower tier 1 capital ratios (G32)sell loan shares (G51)
sell loan shares (G51)enhance regulatory capital ratios (G28)

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