International Trade in Exhaustible Resources: A Cartel-Competitive Fringe Model

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP1291

Authors: Larry Karp; Olli Tahvonen

Abstract: We characterize the open-loop and the Markov-Perfect Stackelberg equilibria for a differential game in which a cartel and a fringe extract a non-renewable resource. Both agents have stock dependent costs. The comparison of initial market shares, across different equilibria, depends on which firm has the cost advantage. The cartel's steady-state market share is largest in the open-loop equilibrium and the smallest in the competitive equilibrium. The initial price may be larger in the Markov equilibria (relative to the open-loop equilibrium), so less market power is consistent with an equilibrium that appears less competitive. The benefit to cartelization increases with market share.

Keywords: trade in nonrenewable resources; cartel-fringe model; dynamic games; Markov perfect equilibrium

JEL Codes: D43; D99; F12; L13


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
open-loop equilibrium (C62)cartel's steady-state market share (D43)
competitive equilibrium (D41)cartel's steady-state market share (D43)
Markov equilibria (D51)initial price (D44)
less competitive appearance (L13)market power (L11)
market share (L17)benefits of cartelization (L12)
open-loop equilibrium (C62)consumer welfare (D69)

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