Agency Conflicts over the Short and Long Run: Short-termism, Long-termism and Pay-for-Luck

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP12720

Authors: Sebastian Gryglewicz; Simon Mayer; Erwan Morellec

Abstract: We develop a dynamic agency model in which the agent controls current earnings via short-term effort and firm growth via long-term effort and the firm is subject to both short- and long-run shocks. Under the optimal contract, agency conflicts can induce both over- and underinvestment in short- and long-term efforts compared to first best, leading to short- or long-termism in corporate policies. Exposure to long-run shocks introduces pay-for-luck in incentive compensation but only after sufficiently good performance due to incentive compatibility, thereby rationalizing the asymmetric benchmarking observed in the data. Correlated short- and long-run shocks to earnings and firm size lead to externalities in incentive provision over different time horizons.

Keywords: Agency conflicts; Multitasking; Pay-for-luck; Optimal short and long-termism

JEL Codes: No JEL codes provided


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
agency conflicts (G34)overinvestment in short-term efforts (G31)
agency conflicts (G34)underinvestment in long-term efforts (H54)
financial condition of the firm (G32)agency conflicts (G34)
financial weakness (G32)overinvestment in short-term efforts (G31)
financial strength (G32)underinvestment in long-term efforts (H54)
long-run shocks (E32)'pay-for-luck' in incentive compensation (J33)
correlated short and long-run shocks (E44)externalities in incentive provision (D62)
externalities in incentive provision (D62)managerial effort choices (M54)

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