Optimal Shorttermism

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP12588

Authors: Dirk Hackbarth; Alejandro Rivera; Takyuen Wong

Abstract: This paper studies incentives in a dynamic contracting framework of a levered firm. In particular, the manager selects long-term and short-term efforts, while shareholders choose initially optimal leverage and ex-post optimal default policies. There are three results. First, shareholders trade off the benefits of short-termism (current cash flows) against the benefits of higher growth from long-term effort (future cash flows), but because shareholders only split the latter with bondholders, they find short-termism ex-post optimal. Second, bright (grim) growth prospects imply lower (higher) optimal levels of short-termism. Third, the endogenous default threshold rises with the substitutability of tasks and, for a positive correlation of shocks, the endogenous default threshold is hump-shaped in the volatility of permanent shocks, but increases monotonically with the volatility of transitory shocks. Finally, we quantify agency costs of short-term and long-term effort, cost of short-termism, effects of investor time horizons, credit spreads, and risk-shifting.

Keywords: capital structure; contracting; multitasking

JEL Codes: D86; G13; G32; G33; J33


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Shareholders' decisions on optimal leverage and default policies (G32)short-termism (G31)
short-termism (G31)default risk (G33)
firm growth prospects (D25)allocation of managerial efforts (M54)
volatility of permanent shocks (C22)endogenous default threshold (G33)
transitory shocks (E32)endogenous default threshold (G33)
short-termism (G31)agency costs (G34)
agency costs (G34)firm value (G32)

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