Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP11103
Authors: Hans Gersbach
Abstract: In this paper we introduce history-bound reelections. In their simplest form, they are embodied in a "Score-replication Rule". Under such rules an incumbent has to match the highest vote-share he/she has obtained in any previous election in order to be reelected. We develop a simple three-period model to examine Score-replication Rules. We show that suitable variants of such rules can improve welfare as they reduce the tendency of reelected incumbents to indulge in their own preferences. At the same time, they ensure that able office-holders are reelected. Candidates might offer their own Score-replication Rule in campaigns. We outline how political competition may be affected by such new forms of elections.
Keywords: scorereplication rule; historybound reelections; incumbency advantage; noncompetitive elections
JEL Codes: D7; D82; H4
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| scorereplication rules (C59) | higher hurdle for reelection (D72) |
| higher hurdle for reelection (D72) | reduction in ideological bias of officeholders (D72) |
| reduction in ideological bias of officeholders (D72) | higher expected welfare (D69) |
| scorereplication rules (C59) | better governance outcomes (G38) |
| scorereplication rules (C59) | electoral competition (D72) |
| electoral competition (D72) | higher welfare outcomes (I31) |