Behavioral Responses to Local Tax Rates: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from a Foreigners Tax Scheme in Switzerland

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP10833

Authors: Kurt Schmidheiny; Michaela Slotwinski

Abstract: We study behavioral responses to local income taxes exploiting a special tax regime which applies to foreign employees residing in Switzerland. The used institutional setting generates two thresholds through which locally heterogeneous taxation is assigned: An income threshold at 120,000 Swiss francs and a duration threshold at 5 years of stay in Switzerland. We exploit these thresholds by applying a discontinuity in density design and a fuzzy RDD to administrative income data. We find causal evidence for strategic income bunching for wage earners and tax induced intra-national mobility. Several pieces of evidence suggest that individuals have to "learn the tax code" and that knowledge and information transmission through local networks plays a major role in the behavioral response to tax incentives.

Keywords: income bunching; income taxes; regression discontinuity design; tax induced mobility

JEL Codes: H24; H31; J61


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Learning and information acquisition about tax system (H26)Taxpayer responses (H29)
Income threshold crossing at 120,000 Swiss Francs (F29)Income bunching (D31)
Income bunching (D31)Adjustment of income reporting behavior (H31)
Duration of stay after five years (C41)Relocation decisions (R23)
High-tax municipalities (H29)Increased likelihood of relocation after five years (J62)
Low-tax municipalities (H29)Decreased likelihood of relocation after five years (R23)

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