NTMs, Preferential Trade Agreements and Prices: New Evidence

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP10798

Authors: Olivier Cadot; Julien Gourdon

Abstract: This paper combines price data from the CEPII bilateral Unit Values with a new database on non-tariff measures (NTMs) to estimate their effect on consumer prices for selected 4500 products in 60 countries. Results based on panel regressions on 270,000 country-product pairs suggest that, after controlling for tariffs, systematic cross-country cost-of-living and factor endowment differences, origin country-specific and product-specific unobservables, NTMs increase trade unit values in two thirds of the product lines. However, we also find that, in Preferential Trade Agreements (PTA) with deep-integration clauses, harmonization and mutual recognition of standards or conformity assessment substantially reduce the this price-raising effect, suggesting that the compliance-cost component of the price rise is reduced by ?deep integration? clauses in PTAs.

Keywords: Ad-valorem equivalents; Economic integration agreement; Free trade agreements; Harmonization; Nontariff measures; Regionalism and trade

JEL Codes: F13; F15; O19


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
NTMs (F29)Trade Unit Values (D46)
NTMs (F29)Compliance Costs (Q52)
NTMs (F29)Quality Signaling (L15)
Compliance Costs (Q52)Trade Unit Values (D46)
Quality Signaling (L15)Trade Unit Values (D46)
NTMs + Deep Integration Clauses (F15)Reduced Price-Raising Effect of NTMs (F16)

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