Bank Networks, Contagion, Systemic Risk and Prudential Policy

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP10540

Authors: Iaki Aldasoro; Domenico Delli Gatti; Ester Faia

Abstract: We present a network model of the interbank market in which optimizing risk averse banks lend to each other and invest in non-liquid assets. Market clearing takes place through a tâtonnement process which yields the equilibrium price, while traded quantities are determined by means of a matching algorithm. Contagion occurs through liquidity hoarding, interbank interlinkages and fire sale externalities. The resulting network configuration exhibits a core-periphery structure, dis-assortative behavior and low density. Within this framework we analyze the effects of prudential policies on the stability/efficiency trade-off. Liquidity requirements unequivocally decrease systemic risk but at the cost of lower efficiency (measured by aggregate investment in non-liquid assets); equity requirements tend to reduce risk (hence increasestability) without reducing significantly overall investment.

Keywords: banking networks; contagion; fire sales; prudential regulation; systemic risk

JEL Codes: C63; D85; G21; G28; L14


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Increasing liquidity requirements (G28)Decrease systemic risk (G28)
Increasing liquidity requirements (G28)Increase interbank interest rate (E43)
Increase interbank interest rate (E43)Decrease investment in nonliquid assets (G11)
Increasing equity requirements (G32)Decrease systemic risk (G28)
Liquidity requirements (G28)More pronounced effect on systemic risk than equity requirements (F65)

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