Correlating Social Mobility and Economic Outcomes

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP10496

Authors: Maia Gell; Michele Pellizzari; Giovanni Pica; Jos V Rodriguez Mora

Abstract: We apply a novel measure of intergenerational mobility (IM) developed by Güell, Rodríguez Mora, and Telmer (2014) to a rich combination of Italian data allowing us to produce comparable measures of IM of income for 103 Italian provinces. We then exploit the large heterogeneity across Italian provinces in terms of economic and social outcomes to explore how IM correlates with a variety of outcomes. We find that (i) higher IM is positively associated with a variety of ?good? economic outcomes, such as higher value added per capita, higher employment, lower unemployment, higher schooling and higher openness and (ii) that also within Italy the ?the Great Gatsby Curve? exists: in provinces in which mobility is lower cross-sectional income inequality is larger. We finally explore the correlation between IM and several socio-political outcomes, such as crime and life expectancy, but we do not find any clear systematic relationship on this respect.

Keywords: cross-sectional data analysis; intergenerational mobility; surnames

JEL Codes: C31; E24; R10


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Higher intergenerational mobility (IM) (J62)Higher value added per capita (O49)
Higher intergenerational mobility (IM) (J62)Increased employment rates (J68)
Higher intergenerational mobility (IM) (J62)Lower unemployment rates (J68)
Lower intergenerational mobility (IM) (J62)Greater cross-sectional income inequality (D31)

Back to index