Technology and the Changing Family: A Unified Model of Marriage, Divorce, Educational Attainment and Married Female Laborforce Participation

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP10434

Authors: Jeremy Greenwood; Nezih Guner; Georgi Kocharkov; Cezar Santos

Abstract: Marriage has declined since 1960, with the drop being bigger for non-college educated individuals versus college educated ones. Divorce has increased, more so for the non-college educated. Additionally, positive assortative mating has risen. Income inequality among households has also widened. A unified model of marriage, divorce, educational attainment and married female labor-force participation is developed and estimated to fit the postwar U.S. data. Two underlying driving forces are considered: technological progress in the household sector and shifts in the wage structure. The analysis emphasizes the joint role that educational attainment, married female labor-force participation, and assortative mating play in determining income inequality.

Keywords: assortative mating; education; household production; inequality; marriage and divorce; married female labour supply

JEL Codes: E13; J12; J22; O11


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Technological advancements in the household sector (L68)Increased labor force participation among married women (J49)
Narrowing of the gender wage gap (J79)Increased labor force participation among married women (J49)
Increased assortative mating (J79)Amplified income inequality (D31)
Rise in skill premium (J24)Increasing income inequality (D31)

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