Ambiguity, Disagreement, and Allocation of Control in Firms

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP10400

Authors: David L. Dicks; Paolo Fulghieri

Abstract: We present a novel source of disagreement grounded in decision theory: ambiguity aversion. We show that ambiguity aversion generates endogenous disagreement between a firm's insider and outside shareholders, creating a new rationale for corporate governance systems. In our paper, optimal corporate governance depends on both firm characteristics and the composition of the outsiders' overall portfolio. A strong governance system is desirable when the value of the firm's assets in place, relative to the growth opportunity, is sufficiently small or is sufficiently large, suggesting a corporate governance life cycle. In addition, more diversified outsiders (such as generalist mutual funds) prefer stronger governance, while outsiders with a portfolio heavily invested in the same asset class as the firm (such as venture capitalists or private equity investors) are more willing to tolerate a weak governance system, where the portfolio companies' insiders have more leeway in determining corporate policies. Finally, we find that ambiguity aversion introduces a direct link between the strength of the corporate governance system and firm transparency, whereby firms with weaker governance should also optimally be more opaque.

Keywords: ambiguity aversion; corporate governance; disagreement

JEL Codes: G30


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
ambiguity aversion (D81)endogenous disagreement between insiders and outsiders (D80)
endogenous disagreement between insiders and outsiders (D80)implications for corporate governance systems (G38)
ambiguity aversion (D81)strength of corporate governance (G38)
strength of corporate governance (G38)firm transparency (G38)
firm characteristics and composition of outside shareholders' portfolios (G34)governance structures (G38)

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