Counterfeit Product Trade

Working Paper: CEPR ID: DP103

Authors: Gene M. Grossman; Carl Shapiro

Abstract: We analyze a two-country model of trade in both legitimate and counterfeit products. Domestic firms own trademarks and establish reputations for delivering high-quality products in a steady-state equilibrium. Foreign suppliers export legitimate low-quality merchandise and counterfeits of domestic brand-name goods. Heterogeneous home consumers either purchase low-quality imports or buy brand-name products, rationally expecting some degree of counterfeiting of the latter. We characterize a counterfeiting equilibrium and explore its properties. We describe the positive and normative effects of counterfeiting in comparison with a no-counterfeiting benchmark. Finally, we provide a welfare analysis of border inspection policy and of policy regarding the disposition of counterfeit goods that are confiscated at the border.

Keywords: Counterfeiting; International Trade; Welfare Analysis; Border Inspection

JEL Codes: D43; F12; L15


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
counterfeiting (K42)decrease in domestic welfare (H53)
counterfeiting (K42)decrease in world welfare (I30)
counterfeiting (K42)increase in foreign welfare (I38)
counterfeiting (K42)decrease in price-quality mix of brand-name products (L15)
increased border inspection (F55)reduce market share of counterfeits (L17)
increased border inspection (F55)compel domestic firms to enhance product quality (L15)
selling confiscated counterfeit goods (K42)shift production into the counterfeiting sector (E26)
counterfeiting (K42)decrease in consumer willingness to pay for quality goods (D11)

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